SAG 2011 Predictions


That time of year again folks. Awards season. A time of year I both love and hate. As long as you don’t put too much stock into the degree of truth behind the nominations and awards given out, it’s a really fun time in a masochistic sort of way. Part of the fun is complaining about how political, unfair and problematic it ultimately is. At the same time, it incites worthy discussions and light-hearted bickering as well as a wealth of excitement about film in general which is always a good thing. The Golden Globe nominations were announced on Tuesday which were…interesting. I’m not someone who expects much from the HFPA. A few extreme mishaps, a few exciting choices, many ‘stars’ and a lot of predictability is about what I expect. Instead, it seemed to be all predictability, ‘stars’ and extreme mishaps. Last year, the SAG nominations were 19 for 20 in terms of what was nominated at the Academy Awards that year. A year like 2007 though, was all over the place with interesting choices including 3:10 to Yuma for ensemble as well as Ryan Gosling for Lars and the Real Girl. Here’s hoping tomorrow morning represents more of the 2007 spirit then the 2009 spirit. For the most part, I went with safe choices as well as putting one alternate for each category. What are your predictions?

Best Ensemble:
The Fighter
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
The Town

Alternate: Inception

Best Actor:
Colin Firth – The King’s Speech
James Franco – 127 Hours
Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network
Ryan Gosling – Blue Valentine
Robert Duvall – Get Low

Alternate: Jeff Bridges – True Grit

Best Actress:
Natalie Portman – Black Swan
Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone
Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine

Alternate: Julianne Moore – The Kids Are All Right

Best Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale – The Fighter
Jeremy Renner – The Town
Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech
Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right
Andrew Garfield – The Social Network

Alternate: Sam Rockwell – Conviction
Supporting Actress:
Melissa Leo – The Fighter
Amy Adams – The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech
Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom
Dianne Weist – Rabbit Hole

Alternate: Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit

TV Predictions:

Best Ensemble Drama:
Boardwalk Empire
The Closer
Dexter
The Good Wife
Mad Men

Alternate: Lost

Best Ensemble Comedy:

30 Rock
Community
Glee
Modern Family
The Office

Alternate: Big Bang Theory

Best Actor Drama:

Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
Michael C Hall – Dexter
Jon Hamm – Mad Men
Hugh Laurie – House

Alternate: Gabriel Bryne – In Treatment

Best Actress Drama:

Glenn Close – Damages
Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife
Elizabeth Moss – Mad Men
Katey Sagal – Sons of Anarchy
Kyra Sedgwick – The Closer

Alternate: January Jones – Mad Men

Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock
Steve Carell – The Office
Joel McHale – Community
Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory
Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family

Alternate: Ty Burrell – Modern Family

Lead Actress in a Comedy Series:

Toni Collette – United States of Tara
Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey – 30 Rock
Laura Linney – The Big C
Jane Lynch – Glee

Alternate: Sophie Vergara – Modern Family

Actor in a Movie/Mini-series

Kenneth Branagh – Wallander
Dennis Quaid – The Special Relationship
Al Pacino – You Don’t Know Jack
Michael Sheen – The Special Relationship
David Straitharn – Temple Grandin

Alternate: Edgar Ramirez – Carlos

Best Actress in a Mini-series/TV Movie

Claire Danes – Temple Grandin
Hope Davis – The Special Relationship
Judi Dench – Return to Cranford
Romola Garai – Emma
Susan Sarandon – You Don’t Know Jack

Alternate: Julia Ormond – Temple Grandin

 

 

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