Here they are folks; my useless Oscar predictions. Every year I manage to pick the wrong things and this year will likely be no different. I’m really hoping for a few shockers on Tuesday morning. A couple of my choices are wishful thinking as well as a few purposeful omissions from categories due to reverse wishful thinking. The inclusion of Dogtooth in Foreign Film is completely unrealistic but I have high hopes for it and refuse to not put it in. I’ll do my Dream Ballot soon enough which is the ultimate wishful thinking activity as I allow everything that came out in 2010 to be eligible, neglecting to edit films that were not submitted (it is a dream ballot after all).What do you think of these? What are your predictions and what are the surprise nominations you wish to see Tuesday morning?

Oscar Predictions:

Best Actor: 4/5
Jeff Bridges – True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network
Ryan Gosling – Blue Valentine
Colin Firth – The King’s Speech
James Franco – 127 Hours
Alternate: Robert Duvall – Get Low

Best Actress: 4.5/5
Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right
Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone
Julianne Moore – The Kids Are All Right
Natalie Portman – Black Swan
Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine
Alternate: Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole

Best Supporting Actor: 4.5/5
Christian Bale – The Fighter
Andrew Garfield – The Social Network
Jeremy Renner –  The Town
Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech
Alternate: John Hawkes – Winter’s Bone

Best Supporting Actress: 4.5/5
Amy Adams – The Fighter
Helena Bonham-Carter – The King’s Speech
Mila Kunis – Black Swan
Melissa Leo – The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit
Alternate: Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom

Best Adapted Screenplay: 5/5
Simon Beaufoy, Danny Boyle – 127 Hours
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Michael Arndt, Toy Story 3
Joel and Ethan Coen, True Grit
Debra Granik, Anne Rosselini, Winter’s Bone
Alternate: Roman Polanski, The Ghost Writer

Best Animated Feature: 3/3
Toy Story 3
The Illusionist
How to Train Your Dragon
Alternate: Tangled

Best Art Direction: 3.5/5
Geoffrey Kirkland, Get Low
Guy Hendrix Dyas, Inception
Eve Stewart, The King’s Speech
Dante Ferretti, Shutter Island
Jess Gonchor, True Grit
Alternate: Stuart Craig, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1

Best Cinematography: 5/5
Matthew Libateque, Black Swan
Wally Pfister, Inception
Danny Cohen, The King’s Speech
Jeff Cronenweth, The Social Network
Roger Deakins, ASC, True Grit
Alternate: Robert Richardson, Shutter Island

Best Costume Design: 3.5/5
Colleen Atwood, Alice in Wonderland
Amy Westcott, Black Swan
Michael Kaplan, Burlesque
Jenny Beavan, The King’s Speech
Mary Zophres, True Grit
Alternate: Sandy Powell, The Tempest

Best Director: 4.5/5
Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan
David Fincher – The Social Network
Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech
Christopher Nolan – Inception
David O’ Russell – The Fighter
Alternate: Joel and Ethan Coen – True Grit

Best Documentary: 3/5
Exit Through the Gift Shop
Inside Job
The Tillman Story
Waiting for Superman
Alternate: Client 9

Best Editing: 4/5
Andrew Weisblum, Black Swan
Pamela Martin, The Fighter
Lee Smith, Inception
Tariq Anwar, The King’s Speech
Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall, The Social Network
Alternate: Jim Helton, Ron Patane, Blue Valentine (I fail to see why this is on nobody’s radar)

Best Foreign Language Film: 4/5
Biutiful, Mexico
In a Better World, Denmark
Life, Above All, South Africa
Incendies, Canada
Dogtooth, Greece
Alternate: Confessions, Japan

Best Makeup: 1.5/3
Alice in Wonderland
True Grit
The Wolfman
Alternate: Barney’s Version

Best Original Score: 5/5
AR Rahman, 127 Hours
John Powell, How to Train Your Dragon
Hans Zimmer, Inception
Alexandre Desplat, The King’s Speech
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Alternate: Alexandre Desplat, The Ghost Writer

Best Original Song: 3/4
“You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me Yet” – Burlesque
“I See the Light” – Tangled
“If I Rise” – 127 Hours
“We Belong Together” – Toy Story 3
“Shine” Waiting for Superman
Alternate: “Sticks and Stones” – How to Train Your Dragon

Best Original Screenplay: 4.5/5
Mike Leigh, Another Year
Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz, John J. McLaughlin, Black Swan
Christopher Nolan, Inception
Lisa Cholodenko, The Kids Are All Right
David Seidler, The King’s Speech
Alternate: Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson, The Fighter

Best Picture: 10/10
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
The Fighter
The Social Network
True Grit
Toy Story 3
Winter’s Bone
Alternate: The Town

Best Sound Editing: 3.5/5
127 Hours
How to Train Your Dragon
Toy Story 3
TRON: Legacy
Alternate: Unstoppable

Best Sound Mixing: 3/5
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Social Network
TRON: Legacy
Alternate: True Grit

Best Visual Effects: 4/5
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Iron Man 2
TRON: Legacy
Alternate: Scott Pilgrim vs. the World


One thought on “Academy Award Nomination Predictions

  1. I’m not all that disappointed with the Oscars this year, except no love for Christopher Nolan, or The Town for that matter. However, it doesn’t matter all that much really since The Social Network is practically going to win everything it’s nominated for. Which kind of blows, but hey it really was an amazing piece of work. Can’t wait for the show!

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